Tag Archives: Luxury Goods / Services

U.S. wins backing for $7.5 billion tariffs on EU in jet subsidy conflict

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BRUSSELS/LONDON (Reuters) – The USA received approval on Wednesday to impose tariffs on$7.5 billion price of European items over unlawful EU subsidies handed to Airbus, threatening to set off a tit-for-tat transatlantic commerce conflict as the worldwide economic system falters.

FILE PHOTO: An Airbus A350 takes off on the plane builder’s headquarters in Colomiers close to Toulouse, France, September 27, 2019. REUTERS/Regis Duvignau/File Photograph

The choice by the World Commerce Group pushes a 15-year company dispute over unlawful help for transatlantic aircraft giants to the middle of caustic world commerce relations and comes on high of a tariff conflict between Washington and Beijing.

The European Fee stated in response {that a} U.S. transfer to impose commerce sanctions on EU imports could be “short-sighted and counterproductive” and risked inflicting harm on either side of the Atlantic.

The WTO has discovered that each Europe’s Airbus (AIR.PA) and its U.S. rival Boeing (BA.N) acquired billions of {dollars} of unlawful subsidies on the planet’s largest company commerce dispute, a authorized marathon relationship again to 2004.

The 2 instances are anticipated to result in tit-for-tat tariffs, starting with the U.S. measures, posing new issues for companies and monetary markets all over the world.

The main focus of nervous markets will now shift to Washington the place the U.S. Commerce Consultant is predicted to maneuver rapidly to slim down a preliminary record of products in line for tariffs, a U.S. supply stated.

The company’s provisional record of merchandise which might be eligible to be focused with tariffs ranges from Airbus jets themselves to helicopters, wine, purses and cheese.

Earlier than any tariffs could be imposed, the WTO’s Dispute Settlement Physique should formally undertake the arbiters’ report in a course of anticipated to take between 10 days and Four weeks.

Its subsequent scheduled assembly is on Oct. 28, however Washington may request a particular assembly 10 days after the arbiters’ report is revealed, suggesting an earliest attainable closing nod on Oct. 12.

Within the largest case ever dealt with by the WTO, Washington had requested permission to impose tariffs on as much as $11.2 billion of EU items. Brussels is pushing for tariffs of round $10 billion on American items in parallel course of to be determined by the WTO early subsequent yr.

On Tuesday, the top of Irish finances airways group Ryanair (RYA.I) urged the US and EU to tug again from the brink of a tariff conflict and stated neither facet’s aviation trade would survive a protracted dispute.

However Peter Harrell, a senior fellow on the Washington-based Middle for a New American Safety, noticed no instant peace deal.

“My sense is that there can be a settlement solely after either side have imposed tariffs on one another,” he stated.

FRAGILE MARKETS

Whereas the extent of tariffs quantities to lower than three days price of annual commerce between Europe and the US, importers led by U.S. airways that purchase Airbus jets have urged Washington to be selective when selecting industries to hit to be able to keep away from inflicting collateral harm to the U.S. economic system.

The WTO award within the dispute may gasoline rising commerce tensions, diplomats say.

FILE PHOTO: A emblem is pictured exterior the World Commerce Group (WTO) headquarters subsequent to a purple site visitors gentle in Geneva, Switzerland, October 2, 2018. REUTERS/Denis Balibouse/File Photograph

EU producers are already going through U.S. tariffs on metal and aluminum and a risk from U.S. President Donald Trump to penalize EU automobiles and automotive elements. The EU has in flip retaliated.

The Trump administration has concluded tariffs had been efficient in bringing China to the negotiating desk over commerce, and in convincing Japan to open its agricultural market to U.S. merchandise. Washington is unlikely to skip the chance to implement tariffs within the case over plane subsidies, in accordance with present and former U.S. officers.

Airbus has stated this is able to result in a “lose-lose” commerce conflict and has revealed a video stressing its contribution to the U.S. trade by means of native meeting crops and 4,000 direct jobs, headlined “Collectively, let’s hold American aerospace nice”.

Extra reporting by Stephanie Nebahay in Geneva, Jospehine Mason in London and Andrea Shalal in Washington; Enhancing by Mark Potter and Pravin Char

Our Requirements:The Thomson Reuters Belief Rules.

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Airbus, French exporters reel as U.S. tariffs loom in subsidy row

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PARIS/BRUSSELS (Reuters) – Shares in Airbus (AIR.PA) and French luxurious items exporters fell on Monday because the European Union acknowledged it might face U.S. tariffs in a long-running dispute over plane subsidies, a part of an escalating tit-for-tat commerce row.

A brand of Airbus is seen on a flag at Airbus headquarters in Blagnac, close to Toulouse, France, February 14, 2019. REUTERS/Regis Duvignau

The World Commerce Group has authorised a U.S. request to impose tariffs on European items within the newest chapter of a dispute over plane subsidies that might result in European reprisals, two folks acquainted with the case mentioned.

The scope of the choice, which had been extensively anticipated, is because of be introduced within the week of Sept 30.

The EU’s commerce chief mentioned the US was prone to impose tariffs “fairly quickly”.

The WTO has discovered that each Airbus and its U.S. rival Boeing acquired billions of {dollars} of dangerous subsidies in a pair of circumstances marking the world’s largest ever company commerce dispute.

The EU and United States are actually drawing up potential tariffs after the Geneva physique additionally discovered neither facet had adhered totally to its findings. However Washington is first in line to show this into precise tariffs as a result of its case is working 9 months forward.

Washington has sought permission to impose tariffs as much as 100% on European items value $11.2 billion a yr. These embrace plane and aerospace elements from Airbus host nations – Britain, France, Germany and Spain – as effectively a spread of products together with wine, cheese and luxurious items from throughout the EU.

Exports of Airbus industrial helicopters may be hit.

The ultimate quantity will depend upon WTO arbitrators who offered their findings internally final week.

Washington should then draw from a broader record of EU merchandise with a commerce worth of $25 billion a yr that it has tapped for attainable inclusion within the last record of any punitive tariffs.

Airbus jets and elements are prone to be hit first, regardless of the measurement of the authorised countermeasures, commerce sources mentioned.

Shares in Airbus, which depends on a circulate of elements to feed an meeting line in Alabama, and which additionally counts U.S. airways amongst its main clients for plane assembled at its most important crops in Europe, fell 3.2%.

Luxurious items group LVMH (LVMH.PA) – whose merchandise embrace Louis Vuitton purses, Moet et Chandon champagne and Hennessy cognac – fell 3.5%. The US represents slightly below 1 / 4 of group income.

Hermes Worldwide (HRMS.PA) fell 1.5%.

SHIFTING BLAME

The potential change of tariffs stems from complaints filed effectively earlier than the present spate of worldwide commerce tensions, however is coming to a head simply as world markets are taking fright at commerce friction dominated by a U.S.-China commerce struggle.

On the transatlantic entrance, tensions have been brewing for the reason that U.S. imposed metal and aluminum tariffs final yr, whereas the US has additionally threatened to impose automobile tariffs.

Each side within the plane dispute have tried to deflect blame for any additional escalation by accusing the opposite of ignoring makes an attempt to move off a commerce struggle via negotiation.

In June, two U.S. sources informed Reuters the US would doubtless be open to talks on an enforceable mechanism permitting Airbus to obtain authorities funding on industrial phrases whereas addressing disputed Washington-state tax breaks for Boeing.

U.S. officers later mentioned the EU had failed to point out any curiosity in talks.

The EU, nevertheless, mentioned on Monday it was Washington that stood in the best way of a negotiated settlement.

Commerce chief Cecilia Malmstrom mentioned the EU had requested the US in July to carry off commerce sanctions and search an settlement.

“Our view is that we have now sufficient tariffs on the planet as it’s … The U.S. president likes to make offers so we have now provided to attempt to make a deal to discover a negotiated answer,” EU Commerce Commissioner Malmstrom informed a briefing.

“To this point, sadly, the U.S. has not mentioned that they’re prepared to barter, a minimum of not till they’ve imposed their tariffs, which they’re prone to do fairly quickly,” she mentioned.

The EU commerce chief mentioned any EU-U.S. settlement may function a template for others to observe to create a degree enjoying area. “We additionally know different massive gamers on the planet, resembling Russia and China but additionally others, are additionally subsidizing their civil plane business,” she mentioned.

Western officers who’ve tried to discover a compromise up to now imagine any new funding settlement should set an instance for China, whose personal speedy aerospace progress with state backing is considered as a worrying menace by the 2 Western giants.

Extra reporting by Josephine Mason, Andrea Shalal and Stephanie Nebehay; enhancing by Jason Neely and David Evans

Our Requirements:The Thomson Reuters Belief Rules.

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Buyers search for client strain forward of subsequent tariffs

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(Reuters) – As President Donald Trump prepares to slap new tariffs on Chinese language imports, traders are bracing for indicators of strain on U.S. customers as prime retailers start reporting quarterly outcomes subsequent week and key client sentiment and retail gross sales information is launched.

Buyers and analysts are anxious concerning the influence of Trump’s deliberate 10% tariff on the remaining $300 billion in Chinese language imports, which is able to largely have an effect on client items, not like the earlier spherical that fell closely on industrial and enterprise merchandise. That may very well be a double-whammy for the U.S. economic system, which is about 70 % pushed by customers, and retailers.

Mona Mahajan, U.S. funding strategist at Allianz World Buyers in New York, is amongst analysts specializing in the fallout from the tariffs, noting that the deliberate new spherical will “disproportionately” influence client items.

“We’ll be watching the information notably round retail gross sales and client confidence,” Mahajan stated. “We’ll proceed to observe the softening in manufacturing and inflation as properly, however extra necessary for the U.S. financial image is the patron proper now.”

July retail gross sales information is due out on Thursday. Excluding autos, gross sales are anticipated to have grown 0.3% in contrast with 0.4% in June, in response to a Reuters ballot. On Friday, The College of Michigan’s preliminary August studying of client sentiment is predicted to point out a slip to 97.7 from 98.Four in July.

The S&P Retail index .SPXRT fell a complete of 5.3% within the first three buying and selling classes following Trump’s Aug. 1 tariff announcement. As of Thursday’s market shut, the index was down 1.6% for the month up to now.

UBS analyst Jay Sole stated fears that the tariffs might ultimately improve to 25% have been additionally an overhang for shares. Morgan Stanley has estimated that 25% tariffs would result in a worldwide recession.

Retailers can have the dilemma of deciding whether or not to go the tariffs on to customers within the type of increased costs or take in the upper prices, which would cut back revenue margins.

“When you’re in a aggressive surroundings you’re going to take some motion to maintain your prospects,” stated Charles East, an fairness analyst protecting client firms at SunTrust Non-public Wealth Administration, who stated that malls are notably susceptible.

“I actually don’t suppose they will push costs up as a result of their gross sales are already weak,” East stated. “The margins are beneath strain. Maybe they will speed up cost-cutting.”

With two thirds of U.S. footwear coming from China, for instance, UBS’s Sole will search for feedback in earnings calls and statements on how retailers and footwear firms plan to deal with the tariffs.

“It’s an enormous deal. Our assumption is that there might be an try to lift costs on the products,” Sole stated.

“We expect customers are going to withstand these value will increase,” he added, citing a UBS survey of seven,660 customers in July that confirmed 77% of respondents have been anxious the China commerce battle would trigger costs to rise.

Retailers reporting subsequent week embrace Macy’s Inc (M.N), Walmart Inc (WMT.N) and Tapestry Inc (TPR.N), whose manufacturers embrace Coach, Kate Spade and Stuart Weitzman. The next week Kohls Corp (KSS.N), Goal (TGT.N) and Nordstrom Inc (JWN.N) will all report.

The S&P Client Discretionary index .SPLRCD, which incorporates huge retailers, is predicted to report a 1.2% improve in second-quarter earnings, in response to IBES information from Refinitiv.

However estimates for the remainder of the 12 months have been falling. Wall Road now expects third-quarter earnings development of 1.8% in contrast with a 6.8% expectation on July 1 whereas the fourth-quarter estimate has fallen to six.5% from 9.8%.

FILE PHOTO: A lady outlets at a Walmart in Westbury, New York, U.S., November 15, 2018. REUTERS/Shannon Stapleton

Mitigating elements for client firms embrace a robust labor market, low inflation, declining rates of interest and low gasoline costs, in response to David Pleasure, chief market strategist at Ameriprise Monetary in Boston.

However Pleasure cautioned that latest power within the Convention Board’s Client Confidence index might not final.

“When confidence is at most of these ranges, it might have peaked and can decline if the economic system slows additional or the inventory market sells off sharply,” he stated.

Reporting by Sinéad Carew; Enhancing by Leslie Adler

Our Requirements:The Thomson Reuters Belief Ideas.

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Hey big spender – how luxury brands are raising the stakes on Instagram

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PARIS (Reuters) – Big-spending luxury brands like Gucci, Louis Vuitton and Christian Dior are splashing out on everything from dance-fuelled fashion shows to teams of advisers as they target social media platforms in the hunt for young shoppers.

FILE PHOTO: Models present creations by French designer Nicolas Ghesquiere as part of his Fall/Winter 2019-2020 women’s ready-to-wear collection show for Louis Vuitton during the Paris Fashion Week in Paris, France, March 5, 2019. REUTERS/Stephane Mahe/File Photo

Without the entry barriers of magazine advertising – where a one page glossy ad can cost tens of thousands of dollars – sites like Instagram, a fashionista favorite, have allowed unknown labels to find an audience with canny or eye-catching campaigns.

But big bucks are changing the game as cash rich luxury goods groups like LVMH and Kering hike their social media budgets, giving them vast means to drown out rivals on platforms once seen as a leveler for brands big and small.

As the use of bloggers and influencers becomes mainstream, fees per sponsored post commanded by those with four million followers have reached well over 20,000 euros ($22,546), according to marketing experts.

Less active than some smaller brands on networking platforms even five years ago, luxury’s leading players are now leapfrogging the competition.

Kering – owner of fast-growing Gucci, which scored the highest level of publicity impact on social media last year according to data trackers Tribe Dynamics – on Friday said that half its 2018 media budget was spent on digital advertising, up from 20 percent only three years earlier.

“There’s a big shift in how we’re thinking about advertising and creating aspiration,” Kering’s digital chief Gregory Boutte told journalists on the sidelines of an investor day.

“Now with every type of social platform, you need different types of videos, of pictures. You don’t create content on YouTube as you do on TV.”

Kering does not reveal its total advertising expenditure.

Its cross-town rival LVMH increased its total marketing spending at the fastest rate in seven years in 2018 to 5.6 billion euros ($6.3 billion), reaching 12% of group revenues – more than most brands that disclose this budget and topped only by another big online trendsetter, privately-owned Chanel.

Louis Vuitton, LVMH’s major sales driver, also now allocates half its marketing costs to digital media, the brand’s CEO Michael Burke said at a closed-door briefing this week, according to Citi analysts.

LVMH declined to comment.

Vuitton, as well as LVMH’s Christian Dior, Marc Jacobs and Givenchy labels were among Tribe Dynamics’ top 10 brands last year, with Kering’s Saint Laurent and Balenciaga also making the cut. The firm quantifies how much social media buzz is worth, including non-paid for content.

EMBRACING THE NEW

Rewind three years, and Italy’s Valentino, seven times smaller then than Vuitton, outflanked peers in the Instagram stakes, coming first in a listing by Engagement Labs which measured the most effective brands on social media.

Valentino’s formula was simple, mixing content generated by fans with its own professional photos, while answering online comments – a standard approach for labels now, but which helped fuel a sales spike at the Mayhoola-owned firm at the time.

Valentino’s Instagram followers have doubled to 12.4 million since, though revenue growth has slowed; Vuitton’s followers have almost tripled to 32.1 million, and revenues are still expanding at a robust pace.

Marketing investments are just one factor separating luxury brands riding high on demand from markets like China and those struggling to make a mark, with product designs and funkier store strategies playing a role too.

And funds only go so far, with social media savvy also making a difference.

Gucci co-designed a collection in 2016 with “Guccighost”, a street artist who painted quirky versions of its logos around New York and posted them online, helping its social media credentials, Tribe Dynamics’ co-founder Conor Begley said.

“Gucci embraced those connections. Usually a brand would have sent attorneys after him,” Begley said. “That sends a message to other content creators who think ‘Oh My God, maybe I’ll get to work with Gucci’ if I post about them”.

BIG GROUPS, BIG MEANS

As digital investments rise, mid-sized luxury labels are now in an increasingly awkward spot as they try and stay visible.

“The ones that are suffering are those in the middle, of an average size, which are stuck between the small innovative pure digital players and the big groups with big means,” said Michael Jais, CEO of Launchmetrics, which compiles digital data on the fashion industry.

Italian shoemaker Tod’s is among a clutch of brands in turnaround mode investing more in social media in a bid to revive sales – a strategy welcomed by analysts but which will likely keep weighing on its profit margins, some said.

FILE PHOTO: A model presents a creation during the Cruise 2020 collection show for French fashion house Dior in Marrakech, Morocco, April 29, 2019. REUTERS/Youssef Boudlal/File Photo

Analysts at HSBC, which have a “reduce” rating on Tod’s, said in a note this week that it was losing ground and “facing intense competitive pressure” as LVMH and Kering pushed funds into online marketing.

Just over 10% of social media influencers earned $100,000 or more a year in 2018, according to a Launchmetrics report, compared to 3.7% in 2017, though hiring the most popular bloggers is only one of the costs involved.

“The big groups understood they had to invest more in experiences – what happens around a catwalk show, exhibits, store openings,” said Uche Pezard, CEO of Luxe Corp, which advises brands on strategy. “That’s what’s expensive, not the technology. That’s what’s changed in the past five to eight years.”

Reporting by Sarah White and Pascale Denis; Editing by Elaine Hardcastle

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