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At Their Core, These Apple Arguments Just Don’t Make Sense


After the Apple (AAPL) news on Tuesday morning I saw some folks say this didn’t matter. There is a laundry list of reasons why it is unimportant. Let me share a few I heard.

I heard that if you want — well the person actually used the word “need” — an iPhone, you will still buy it, but you might just have to wait a few more months. There was no mention, not even a consideration, that perhaps said buyer would no longer want or need or be able to afford the phone six months from now. The assumption was that it was temporary. And while that does seem to be the case, there wasn’t even a consideration that there actually may be lost sales, only pent up demand.

The other line of reasoning is that we should not care about an economic slowdown due to the coronavirus because the central banks of the world have our backs and will simply flood the market with money.

I realize this has been the case for quite some time. But I am forced to wonder: If it were that easy, why have we never seen them do this before? I mean, if central banks could simply repeal recessions and earnings misses, why have they not done this before?

Wasn’t this the quarter that we were to see earnings trough and we were already looking past this lack of earnings season to the other side where things were going to be so much better? I suppose that means the earnings trough will now be in the second quarter, which must give us another chance to look beyond at the sunny skies ahead!

What’s another quarter among friends?

In reality, there has been very little selling in the last few weeks. But there has also been very little buying. The majority of stocks peaked in mid-January. There was selling for about two weeks and that was that. But the rebound has been lethargic outside of the major indexes; you can see the cumulative advance/decline line is still well off the highs.

A more smoothed out version, using the McClellan Summation Index, shows a literal flat-lining of the indicator since that late January whoosh down. The majority of stocks are literally just sitting around marking time. It’s only the big cap indexes that see buying.

The oddest part of the entire trading day on Tuesday was that the dollar has been so strong and continued to be so, yet some commodities were strong as well, including gold. The dollar is looking a bit stretched up here and is nearing some decent resistance. So I figure I should note that the Daily Sentiment Index (DSI) for the buck hit 90 on Tuesday. Readings of 90 and above are considered extreme and typically mean a pullback is due.

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Nike, Huami, Apple, Kemet: ‘Mad Cash’ Lightning Spherical


Here is what Jim Cramer needed to say about among the shares through the Mad Cash Lightning Spherical:

Nike (NKE – Get Report) : “I believe this inventory goes greater. That was an excellent quarter.”

Huami (HMI – Get Report) : “There’s just one system firm value proudly owning and that is Apple (AAPL – Get Report) .”

Kemet (KEM – Get Report) : “That is extremely undervalued and is a purchase, purchase, purchase.”

Hanesbrands (HBI – Get Report) : “It has an excellent yield however I would like progress and so they do not have it.”

Enphase Power (ENPH – Get Report) : “Plenty of persons are shorting this one however I am not going to discourage it.” 

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Iphone 11 pakistani market mein agya, qeemat mehran gari jitni, kia aap khareedein ge?

آئی فون 11 نیا موبائل تقریبا three لاکھ 60 ہزار کا مارکیٹ میں آگیا، اتنے پیسوں میں مہران گاڑی بھی لے سکتے ہیں، نئی قیمتیں کیا ہیں آپ بھی براہ راست جانئے۔۔۔


Early iPhone 11 Professional Orders Look Strong, and Battery Life Would possibly Be a Key Issue


For now, order exercise for Apple’s (AAPL – Get Report) latest flagship iPhones is trying fairly wholesome, and that has led one well-known Apple analyst to hike his estimates.

On Apple’s U.S. web site, supply occasions for a lot of variations of the iPhone 11 Professional and 11 Professional Max, which noticed pre-orders begin on Friday and can start reaching customers’ arms this coming Friday, are usually within the vary of two to 4 weeks. A majority of fashions — when damaged down primarily based on shade, provider and storage capability — are promised to be delivered between Oct. 7 and Oct. 14, whereas a smaller share are promised to reach between Oct. 2 and Oct. 7 or Sep. 30 and Oct. 2.

Supply occasions aren’t fairly as stretched within the U.S. for the iPhone 11. Whereas various inexperienced and purple iPhone 11 fashions have an Oct. 7-14 supply window, most white, black, yellow and crimson fashions have a Sep. 30-Oct. 2 supply window.

Over in China, many iPhone 11 Professional and Professional Max fashions are promised to ship inside 5 to seven days, however an honest share are additionally stated to ship in two to 3 weeks. In the meantime, many iPhone 11 fashions have supply occasions of 5 to seven days or seven to ten days. Nonetheless, the inexperienced and purple fashions typically have two to 3 week supply occasions.

In Japan, supply occasions for many new iPhone fashions are both 5 to seven days or seven to 10 days; inexperienced and purple iPhone 11 fashions are as soon as extra outliers, with supply occasions standing at two to 3 weeks. Within the U.Ok., an honest variety of iPhone 11 Professional and Professional Max fashions have an Oct. 1-Eight supply window (some are additionally promised to ship sooner), whereas iPhone 11 fashions usually have a Sep. 24-26 supply window.

Total, provided that (in contrast to with some previous iPhone launches) there have not been stories of manufacturing constraints for Apple’s 2019 iPhones, the push-out of supply occasions for a lot of iPhone fashions to early-to-mid October is reasonably encouraging. This significantly holds for the iPhone 11 Professional and Professional Max, provided that gross sales expectations for Apple’s newest flagship telephones have been fairly subdued.

Notably, citing better-than-expected early demand, Apple analyst Ming-Chi Kuo simply raised his forecast for 2019 iPhone 11 and 11 Professional gross sales by 5 million to a variety of 70 million to 75 million. Kuo’s new outlook implies this 12 months’s gross sales of 2019 iPhone fashions will likely be roughly flat relative to year-ago gross sales of 2018 iPhone fashions.

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The Attraction of Higher Battery Life

Although they’ve acquired much less press protection than the digicam and processor enhancements delivered by the iPhone 11 Professional and Professional Max, the telephones’ substantial battery life enhancements may need one thing to do with the preliminary demand that they are seeing.

Apple claims that the iPhone 11 Professional will ship as much as 4 hours extra battery life than the iPhone XS, and that the 11 Professional Max will ship as much as 5 hours extra battery life than the XS Max (the iPhone 11 is claimed to offer a extra modest one-hour acquire relative to the iPhone XR). And various surveys have discovered that there isn’t any smartphone characteristic that customers worth greater than battery life.

In a Nov. 2018 survey of U.S. customers from analysis agency Morning Seek the advice of, 95% of respondents stated that battery life was a considerably or crucial characteristic when making a smartphone buying choice. Ease of use (93%) and storage (90%) had been the one different options to succeed in 90%.

A Feb. 2019 U.S. survey by SurveyMonkey discovered that 76% of iPhone homeowners and 77% of Android cellphone homeowners cited longer battery life as a characteristic that might get them enthusiastic about buying a brand new cellphone. This in contrast with 57% and 52%, respectively, citing a greater digicam, and simply 34% and 31%, respectively, citing an even bigger display screen.

And an Aug. 2018 SurveyMonkey survey of iPhone homeowners specifically discovered that improved battery life was the iPhone characteristic customers mostly wished. This was adopted by a shatter-proof display screen (66%) and — although that is one thing Apple is unlikely to supply, given its product philosophy — expandable storage (44%).

Notably, Apple’s promotional supplies for its latest flagships make some extent of highlighting their battery life, together with their cameras and processor. As has been the case for a lot of different devices over time, what’s driving shopper curiosity within the 11 Professional and Professional Max won’t be one and the identical with what’s getting probably the most media consideration.

Retaining an Eye on 5G’s Influence

In the meanwhile, the truth that Apple’s 2019 iPhones lack 5G radios does not appear to be badly hurting their gross sales. Among the many causes for this: 5G community protection remains to be very restricted within the U.S. and lots of different massive markets; most of the high-end telephones launched this 12 months by rivals additionally lack 5G help (and people who have it are sometimes fairly costly); and whereas 5G networks typically ship a lot increased transmission speeds and community capacities than their 4G counterparts, nearly any smartphone app or service counting on a 5G community can even work on a 4G community.

However as 2020 unfolds, 5G may have a bigger influence. As 5G community protection improves and extra 5G telephones that includes sub-$1,000 costs arrive on the scene, shopper consciousness of and curiosity within the know-how is certain to develop. And as Apple’s personal 5G cellphone launches (extensively anticipated to occur a 12 months from now) draw nearer, extra customers may resolve that they’d favor to attend till 5G iPhones arrive earlier than upgrading, in order that their units are future-proofed as 5G turns into extra ubiquitous.

Nonetheless, it is price conserving in thoughts that near-term iPhone gross sales expectations have been fairly low: On common, analysts polled by FactSet anticipate Apple’s iPhone income to be down 3% yearly within the seasonally large December quarter, though it fell 15% within the year-ago quarter. And for now, the {hardware} enhancements that Apple did pack inside its newest iPhones look like leading to considerably better-than-expected ordering exercise.


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Apple iPhone Launch: Five Things to Look for Ahead of Key Product Event


Apple Inc. (AAPL – Get Report) will host its eleventh annual product launch event in California later Tuesday, with investors focused on service-focused additions, as well as new versions of the AppleWatch and AirPods, to compliment the expected suite of new iPhones.

Apple shares were marked 0.4% lower in pre-market trading Tuesday to indicate an opening bell price of $213.32 each, a move that would still leave the stock with a year-to-date gain of more than 35% and a market value of around $965 billion.

Here a five key questions investors and Apple devotees will be asking ahead of the tech giant’s presentation later today at the Steve Jobs Theater on Apple’s Cupertino, California campus.

Cupertino calling. Join us today at 10 a.m. PDT to watch the #AppleEvent at https://t.co/yLa2e4Xr2R

— Apple (@Apple) September 10, 2019

1. iPhone Home?

Apple’s iconic smartphone remains the company benchmark, despite sliding global sales and increasing competition from low-cost rivals, and today’s event will once again center around the world’s most-recognized handheld device.

Apple is expected to unveil three new models — at varying price points — in what is now the 11th labeled series of the 11-year old handset. Although the official name of the series is yet to be revealed, investors are expecting an iPhone 11 with a base price of $749 and intended as the natural upgrade to the current iPhone XR, an iPhone 11 Pro, priced at $999, and a $1,099-priced iPhone Pro Max.

Each of the new phones is expected to have increased durability, shatter-resistant screen and enhanced camera technology, including a triple lens for the higher priced versions.

2. Apple Watch This Space?

Wearables have become and increasing important component of Apple’s hardware sales, and today’s event is expected to reflect that with a fifth generation offering of the Apple Watch. 

Apple’s smartwatch dominance remains a key advantage in its ability to generate revenue from this hardware set, even as iPhone sales slow. It sells more than twice as many units as Samsung Electronics (SSNLF) and Fitbit, but any changes to the new series are likely to be either software-focused or design based.

Industry rumors suggest the Watch will have a new design based on ceramic and titanium casings and could also include various health-related options, such as glucose monitoring and sleep tracking, to increase its appeal to older customers. 

3. Apple TV or Not to Be?

Apple TV, first mooted last spring, could also form part of today’s event, with CEO Tim Cook potentially unveiling a launch date and price point for the streaming service that is expected to challenge the current market dominance of Netflix (NFLX – Get Report) and the soon-to-be-active Disney+ offering from Walt Disney Co. (DIS – Get Report) .

Apple’s current 4K version of the AppleTV device could also see an upgrade today, particularly if the company plans to lure users to its Arcade gaming platform, which it unveiled last spring as part of a services-focused lineup of new products.

4. Let’s Play Tag?

Industry rumors and trade publications have persistently discussed the potential for Apple to release a Bluetooth-enabled rival to Tile and its popular tracking app. Apple Tags, as its being referred to, could allow users to locate lost or mis-placed gadgets – such as iPhones or iPods — as well as keys, wallets and cameras by using a circular device that would be integrated with the current “Find My iPhone” service. 

5. Budding New AirPod? 

Apple’s incredibly popular wireless earphones, known as AirPods, could also see an upgrade to a third version today, particularly if the higher-priced versions of the iPhone include dual-charging capabilities, which would allow users to refresh battery power in both devices at the same time.

The newer versions, which could be launched later this year and into the holiday shopping season, are also likely to carry higher price points and enhance the group’s first quarter revenue projections. 


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Apple’s Services Push Gives It a Fresh Incentive to Launch a New Apple TV


With the last Apple TV refresh having occurred two years ago, the timing feels right for a new one.

Indeed, ahead of Apple’s (AAPL – Get Report) Tuesday iPhone event, a couple of rumors have popped up indicating that a new Apple TV set-top will soon launch. One states that Apple’s next set-top will (like last year’s iPhone models) be powered by an A12 system-on-chip (SoC), while another states that it will support the HDMI 2.1 interface, which supports nearly three times as much bandwidth as HDMI 2.0 and also improves the playback of fast-moving content such as games.

The rumors are emerging after Apple used its March services event to unveil TV+, a streaming service that will be launching this fall and be available both on Apple TV and rival living room streaming platforms. Also shown off at the event: Apple TV Channels, a service for subscribing to third-party streaming services via Apple TV (echoes of Amazon.com’s (AMZN – Get Report) Prime Video Channels) and Arcade, a game-subscription service that will work on iPhones, iPads and Apple TVs.

Separately, at its June WWDC conference, Apple disclosed that the next version of its tvOS operating system (tvOS 13) will support Xbox and PlayStation game controllers. It also features a revamped home screen meant to improve content discovery, and introduces a picture-in-picture mode.d

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Between Arcade’s pending launch and tvOS 13’s support for Xbox/PlayStation controllers, Apple has a strong incentive to launch a new Apple TV that supports HDMI 2.1 and packs a more powerful SoC than the ones inside of its current set-tops. The Apple TV 4K, which starts at $179, contains an A10X Fusion SoC, while the Apple TV HD, which starts at $149, contains an A8 SoC.

Apple doesn’t break out its Apple TV revenue — the set-top’s sales are included within the “Wearables, Home and Accessories” segment that also features a slew of other products. During Apple’s July 30 earnings call, CFO Luca Maestri disclosed that Apple TV revenue rose at a double-digit annual rate during the company’s June quarter, albeit without going into further detail. Tim Cook disclosed that U.S. monthly viewers for the set-top’s TV app, which was refreshed in May, rose 40%.

Apple TV’s share of the streaming player market is still believed to be well below that of Roku (ROKU – Get Report) and Amazon’s. A survey done by research firm Parks Associates indicated that Apple TV accounted for 13% of the installed base of streaming players owned by U.S. households with broadband in Q1 2019; Roku devices and Amazon’s Fire TV devices were estimated, respectively, to account for 39% and 30%. Last year, eMarketer forecast that 25.1 million Americans would use an Apple TV in 2018, 70.1 million would use Roku and 55.7 million would utilize Fire TV devices.

Business model differences have a lot to do with Roku and Amazon’s lead. Whereas Apple (judging by its pricing) is looking to turn a profit on Apple TV sales, Roku and Amazon treat their streaming devices as loss leaders, with the goal of monetizing users via ads, subscriptions and other services. As a result, Roku and Amazon respectively sell 4K-capable streaming sticks for $50 and $40, and 1080p-capable sticks for even less.

In addition, unlike Apple, Roku and Amazon have both been willing to license their streaming device operating systems to smart TV makers. Roku estimates that it powered more than a third of the smart TVs sold in the U.S. during the first half of 2019.

While it’s unlikely that Apple will license tvOS to third-party hardware makers, given its product philosophy, its services push does give the company some motivation to price Apple TV set-tops more aggressively. Between TV+, Arcade, Apple TV Channels, iTunes rentals and purchases and App Store transactions (including transactions for games working with Xbox/PlayStation controllers), Apple will have quite a few ways to make up for Apple TV discounts.

Whether or not Apple chooses to go this route, or perhaps do something like provide six months of free Apple TV+ with an Apple TV purchase, it’s fair to say that the company’s services efforts have increased the strategic importance of its set-top platform. Going forward, Apple TV will arguably be as much a services vehicle for Apple as it will be a hardware business.


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