Tag Archives: Commodities News (3rd Party)

Oil clambers larger as OPEC, allies transfer nearer to deeper

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SINGAPORE (Reuters) – Oil costs jumped 1.5% on Wednesday on hopes that main producers have made progress in direction of sealing an settlement to implement deeper output cuts aimed toward offsetting the droop in demand brought on by the worldwide coronavirus outbreak.

FILE PHOTO: Pump jacks function at sundown in Midland, Texas, U.S., February 11, 2019. REUTERS/Nick Oxford

Brent crude LCOc1 rose by 78 cents, or 1.50%, to $52.64 a barrel at 0502 GMT, after settling down four cents within the earlier session. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures CLc1 rose by 72 cents, or 1.53%, to $47.90 a barrel, up for a 3rd session.

A panel of the Group of Petroleum Exporting International locations (OPEC) and its allies, a grouping often known as OPEC+, advisable reducing oil output by an additional 1 million barrels per day (bpd) on Tuesday. The advice might imply that Russia and Saudi Arabia, the 2 greatest producers within the OPEC+ group, are near a deal to assist costs.

That will be along with 2.1 million bpd in present output cuts that embody a 1.7 million bpd in curbs by OPEC+ and different voluntary reductions by Saudi Arabia, the world’s greatest exporter. The group is ready to fulfill formally in Vienna on March 5-6.

“That is no time for warning for OPEC+. Second-quarter oversupply wanted some heavy lifting from the group to offset even earlier than the COVID-19 (coronavirus illness) outbreak, however now it’s a should,” Barclays analysts mentioned in a analysis notice.

Brent and WTI have every fallen about 27% from their 2020-peak reached in January.

The anticipated 1 million bpd extra minimize by OPEC+ would nonetheless fall effectively in need of the newly elevated 2.1 million bpd anticipated world demand loss within the first half alone, Goldman Sachs analysts (GS.N) wrote in a analysis notice.

U.S. crude oil inventories rose in the newest week, whereas gasoline and distillate shares fell, knowledge from trade group the American Petroleum Institute confirmed on Tuesday.

Crude inventories rose by 1.7 million barrels within the week to Feb. 28 to 446.6 million barrels, in contrast with analysts’ expectations for a construct of two.6 million barrels.

Goldman has once more minimize its Brent value forecast to $45 a barrel in April, whereas anticipating Brent regularly recovering to $60 a barrel by year-end.

Morgan Stanley on Tuesday additionally minimize its second-quarter 2020 Brent value forecast to $55 per barrel and its WTI outlook to $50 on expectations that China’s 2020 oil demand development can be near zero and that demand elsewhere might weaken due to the virus.

Elsewhere, the U.S. Federal Reserve minimize rates of interest on Tuesday in a bid to protect the world’s largest economic system from the influence of the coronavirus.

“(The) Fed’s emergency fee minimize underscores fragility of financial fundamentals, and this urges OPEC+ to expedite a deeper output minimize to shore up vitality costs,” mentioned Margaret Yang, market analyst at CMC Markets.

Yang mentioned from a technical evaluation perspective, Brent has discovered sturdy assist at round $50-52, whereas quick resistance will be discovered at $54.70.

Reporting by Shu Zhang; Modifying by Christian Schmollinger and Kenneth Maxwell

Our Requirements:The Thomson Reuters Belief Rules.

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Dollar tramples yen and safe-haven status, gold gains

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NEW YORK (Reuters) – The strong dollar got stronger on Thursday, rising to a three-year high against a basket of trading partner currencies, after a steep slide in the Japanese yen called into question its safe-haven status while the rally in U.S. equities took a pause.

Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange shortly after the opening bell in New York, U.S., February 6, 2020. REUTERS/Lucas Jackson

Gold prices hit their highest level in seven years as investors sought safe-haven assets after a rise in the number of new coronavirus cases in South Korea and the price of oil rose, supported by China’s efforts to bolster its virus-weakened economy.

The dollar has surged almost 2% since Tuesday against the yen, reaching its highest in almost 10 months, and the greenback climbed to near three-year highs against the euro.

The dollar index of the world’s most-traded currencies rose 0.12% to its highest level since May 2017.

The index is up 3.6% this year. It also gained to its best levels of the year against China’s offshore yuan and MSCI’s index of emerging-market currencies.

A host of reasons were cited for the dollar’s move, ranging from the outperformance of the U.S. economy and corporate earnings to potential recessions in Japan and the euro zone.

A run of dire economic news out of Japan has stirred talk the country is already in recession and that Japanese funds were dumping local assets in favor of U.S. shares and gold.

“The strongest explanation (for the yen’s decline) is a widespread selling by Japanese asset managers amid growing fears about the health of Japan’s economy,” said Raffi Boyadijian, investment analyst at XM.

The yen’s slide is unusual because the exchange rate with the dollar has been unraveling from its close correlation to the price of gold and U.S. Treasury yields, a development that must be watched, he said.

“This raises question marks about whether the yen is losing some of its shine as the world’s preferred safe-haven currency,” Boyadijian said.

China reported a drop in new virus cases and announced an interest rate cut to buttress its economy. But South Korea recorded an increase in new cases, Japan reported two deaths and researchers said the pathogen seemed to spread more easily than previously believed.

A rally that had lifted major U.S. and European stock indexes to record highs this week lost steam, as investors fretted about the spread of the coronavirus outside of China.

MSCI’s gauge of stocks across the globe shed 0.84% and emerging market stocks lost 0.95%.

The pan-European STOXX 600 index lost 0.62%.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 283.03 points, or 0.96%, to 29,065. The S&P 500 lost 30.99 points, or 0.92%, to 3,355.16 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 131.33 points, or 1.34%, to 9,685.85.

Morgan Stanley’s multibillion-dollar buyout for E*Trade Financial boosted the discount brokerage’s shares.

E*Trade jumped 24.4% after Morgan Stanley offered to pay $13 billion in an all-stock deal, the biggest acquisition by a Wall Street bank since the financial crisis.

Morgan Stanley’s shares fell 3.6%.

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan slipped 0.5% overnight, led by drops in Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and South Korea’s KOSPI.

Spot gold rose 0.3% to $1,616.74 an ounce, after hitting its highest since February 2013 at $1,622.19.

Oil prices rose further after a U.S. report showed a draw in gasoline inventories and a much smaller-than-anticipated rise in crude stocks.

U.S. gasoline stockpiles fell 2 million barrels in the week to Feb. 14. Analysts had estimated an increase of 400,000 barrels.

Data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) showed that crude inventories rose only 414,000 barrels last week, compared with a 2.5 million-barrel rise that analysts had expected in a Reuters poll. [EIA/S]

Brent crude futures rose 58 cents to $59.70 a barrel and West Texas Intermediate gained 91 cents to $54.20 a barrel.

Demand for safe-haven U.S. Treasury debt was robust, driving the 30-year bond yield below the psychologically significant 2% level to its lowest since September 2019.

The 30-year bond last rose 39/32 in price to push its yield down to 1.9626%.

Benchmark 10-year notes last rose 17/32 in price to yield 1.5135%.

Reporting by Herbert Lash; additional reporting by Ritvik Carvalho in London; editing by Jonathan Oatis

Our Standards:The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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Investors charge back into stocks on signs coronavirus spread is slowing

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LONDON (Reuters) – A drop in the number of new coronavirus cases and the Federal Reserve chairman’s optimistic view of the economy lifted world stocks for a third day on Wednesday and sparked a 2% rally in oil prices, on hopes the epidemic’s effects would be contained.

FILE PHOTO: An investor monitors share market prices in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, August 25, 2015. REUTERS/Olivia Harris.

China reported its lowest number of new coronavirus cases since late January, lending weight to a prediction from its senior medical adviser that the outbreak might be over by April. A continued decline in new cases would inflict would keep the epidemic from doing as much economic damage as initially feared,

Those reports encouraged investors to get back into equities at the expense of bonds, gold and the Japanese yen — safe-haven assets that benefited as the virus death toll mounted.

“The virus may retard the modest upturn in global trade and manufacturing output which we predict to unfold from the second quarter of 2020s. But it seems unlikely to derail it,” analysts at Berenberg told clients.

The damage to Western economies in particular “will likely be modest and mostly temporary,” the bank said.

MSCI’s global equity index rose 0.12% to stand just off Tuesday’s record highs .MIWD00000PUS. A pan-European equity index rose to a record as automobile stocks — which depend on exports to China — jumped 1.2% .SXAP.

Futures indicated Wall Street would extend gains from Tuesday, when the S&P 500 and Nasdaq posted record closing highs ESC1 [.N].

In Asia, mainland Chinese and Hong Kong shares rose almost 1% .CSI300. The offshore-traded yuan reached two-week highs CNH=D3. The Thai baht, Korean won and Taiwanese dollar, reliant on Chinese tourism and trade, gained 0.3% to 0.5% THB= KRW= TWD=. The yen slipped 0.3% JPY=EBS to a three-week low against the dollar.

Brent crude futures rose from 13-month lows, helped by the likelihood producers would cut output LCOc1. Brent is still down almost 20% from its peaks in early January.

Some noted it remained unclear whether the coronavirus had peaked. Some Chinese companies said they were laying off workers as supply chains for goods had ruptured.

“Evidence suggests the positive mood will continue, and we see some coordination in markets with oil rallying, base metals up and Treasuries coming under pressure,” said Michael McCarthy, chief market strategist at CMC Markets in Sydney. But “I am not ready to buy risk assets yet.”

U.S. RESILIENCE

Yields on U.S. Treasuries and German Bunds US10YT=RR rose 3 to 4 basis points. Ten-year U.S. yields are now 13 bps off the four-and-a-half-month lows hit late January though almost 30 bps below where they started 2020.

Yields had risen on Tuesday after U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the U.S. economy was “resilient”. Powell also said he was monitoring the coronavirus, because it could lead to disruptions that affect the global economy.

The dollar had risen to four-month highs against a basket of currencies .DXY but inched off those levels on Wednesday.

U.S. markets also got a boost from signs President Donald Trump might be re-elected in November, since centrist candidates for the Democratic nomination appear to be struggling .

“Trump had a great start into the U.S. election season. After the early end of the impeachment trial in the Senate and the Iowa caucus chaos for the Democrats, betting markets suggest that Trump has a 58% probability of winning re-election on 3 November,” Berenberg noted.

The day’s big currency mover was the New Zealand dollar NZD=D3, which rose 0.8% for its biggest daily gain since December, after the central bank dropped a reference to further rate cuts, suggesting its easing cycle might be over.

Additional reporting by Stanley White in Tokyo, editing by Larry King

Our Standards:The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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Oil rises to three-month excessive on upbeat information, Center East rigidity

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LONDON (Reuters) – Oil costs rose to three-month highs on Monday, underpinned by optimism over an anticipated China-U.S. commerce deal and upbeat industrial information, whereas merchants saved an in depth watch on the Center East following U.S. air strikes in Iraq and Syria.

FILE PHOTO: An oil pump is seen simply after sundown outdoors Saint-Fiacre, close to Paris, France September 17, 2019. REUTERS/Christian Hartmann

Brent crude futures LCOc1 had been up 0.9% at $68.75 a barrel, up 59 cents. The worldwide benchmark has risen round 27% in 2019.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures CLc1 rose 22 cents or 0.2% to $61.94 a barrel by 0940 GMT. The U.S. benchmark is up about 36% to date this yr.

“Oil costs have reached their highest stage for the reason that Saudi oilfield assault in mid-September”, stated market analyst Margaret Yang of CMC Markets.

Regardless of a the comparatively low value positive factors regardless of an array of bullish elements, Yang added: “Merchants are additionally cautious about profit-taking prospects.”

Tensions within the Center East have flared up as america carried out air strikes on Sunday towards the Kataib Hezbollah militia group, whereas protesters in Iraq on Saturday briefly compelled the closure of its southern Nassiriya oilfield.

In the meantime, Libyan state oil agency NOC stated it’s contemplating the closure of its western Zawiya port and evacuating workers from the refinery because of clashes close by.

Oil costs had been additionally supported by declining U.S. crude shares, which fell by 5.5 million barrels within the week to Dec. 20, far exceeding a 1.7-million-barrel drop forecast in a Reuters ballot.

In China, manufacturing unit exercise had probably expanded once more in December on stronger exterior demand and an infrastructure push at dwelling though the tempo of progress is about to ease as markets await extra certainty on a U.S.-China commerce truce, a Reuters ballot confirmed.

China’s Commerce Ministry stated it’s in shut contact with america on the signing of a long-awaited commerce deal.

The 2 international locations on Dec. 13 introduced a “Part one” settlement that reduces some U.S. tariffs in alternate for what U.S. officers stated can be a giant bounce in Chinese language purchases of American farm merchandise and different items.

Some analysts, nevertheless, cited ample international crude shares as a serious impediment in 2020 to efforts to rein in output by the Group of the Petroleum Exporting International locations and its allies like Russia.

“At the same time as OPEC and its non-OPEC companions endeavor to make further provide cuts in Q1 2020, we’re not satisfied this will likely be enough to avert giant international stock,” stated Harry Tchilinguirian, international oil strategist at BNP Paribas.

“We stay of the opinion that oil fundamentals proceed to current draw back threat.”

Extra reporting by Seng Li Peng, modifying by Louise Heavens

Our Requirements:The Thomson Reuters Belief Ideas.

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Traders get misplaced in Huge Oil’s carbon accounting maze

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LONDON (Reuters) – Large variations in the best way oil corporations report their efforts to cut back carbon emissions make it troublesome to evaluate the danger of holding their shares because the world shifts away from fossil fuels, senior fund managers say.

FILE PHOTO: Oil pump jacks work at sundown close to Midland, Texas, U.S., August 21, 2019. REUTERS/Jessica Lutz/Recordsdata

Traders have poured cash into so-called sustainable funds, which take note of corporations’ environmental, social, authorized and different requirements, and funds are below strain from their clients and authorities to make these requirements sturdy.

Fund managers are additionally making use of environmental, social and governance (ESG) standards extra extensively in conventional investments to assist them decide how corporations will fare over the long run.

There’s a rising realization that some corporations’ income will shrink quicker than others as governments prioritize low-carbon vitality to satisfy the U.N.-backed Paris settlement’s objective of slicing emissions to “web zero” by the top of the century.

However oil and fuel corporations are among the many largest dividend payers, and main funds are reluctant to divest from them, arguing that by staying in they’re in a greater place to strain corporations to enhance.

“Do buyers have the information that we want? No, I don’t assume we’ve got the information that we want in any respect,” mentioned Nick Stansbury, funding strategist at British insurer Authorized & Common’s funding administration unit, Britain’s largest asset supervisor with round $1.three trillion below administration.

“Disclosure just isn’t essentially so we will search to vary the numbers, however so we will begin understanding and pricing the dangers,” Stansbury mentioned.

“A THOUSAND WAYS TO PARIS”

There are a lot of voluntary initiatives and frameworks to unify carbon accounting and goal setting; some overlap however none have been universally adopted. Additional tasks exist for different greenhouse gases reminiscent of methane.

The Greenhouse Fuel Protocol is one such set of requirements, established by non-governmental organizations and industrial teams within the 1990s.

Corporations can report their progress according to these requirements by way of non-profit CDP, previously often called the Carbon Disclosure Challenge, which then ranks them. Norway’s Equinor comes first in its listing of 24 oil main corporations, however not all of them report in yearly.

(GRAPHIC: Huge oil rating by the CDP – right here)

There’s additionally the Job Drive on Local weather associated Monetary Disclosures (TCFD), created by the G20’s Monetary Stability Board, in addition to business our bodies, in-house fashions at oil companies and banks and third-party verifiers and consultants.

“There are a thousand methods to Paris,” London-based BP’s Chief Govt Bob Dudley mentioned at a Chatham Home occasion earlier this yr referring to the 2015 accord aiming to maintain world warming properly beneath 2 levels.

BP Finance Chief Brian Gilvary advised Reuters BP would welcome extra consistency inside the sector to indicate what oil corporations are doing about emissions and that an business physique, the Oil and Fuel Local weather Initiative (OGCI), was discussing carbon accounting.

A plethora of third celebration ESG verifier corporations had been rising with various methods of measuring ESG metrics, he mentioned, including that some such companies would say to an oil firm, “We consider your rating is that this, and, by the best way, in case you spend $50,000 we’ll present you how one can enhance that rating.”

UBS, with $831 billion of invested property, has $2 billion in its Local weather Conscious passive fairness technique, which is partly primarily based on an organization’s emissions reporting.

In that technique “we tilt in the direction of corporations which are higher acting on a spread of local weather metrics and away from corporations that don’t carry out so properly on this respect,” Francis Condon, govt director for sustainable investing, mentioned.

“We don’t need to be accused of greenwashing or falling for it,” he mentioned, including that UBS commonly inspired corporations to organize for the local weather transition.

Utilizing a broad measure, world sustainable funding reached $30.1 trillion the world over’s 5 main markets on the finish of 2018, in keeping with the World Sustainable Funding Assessment. This equates to between 1 / 4 and half of all property below administration, as a consequence of various estimates of that determine.

Condon mentioned most buyers had been nonetheless extra centered on returns than wider sustainability standards however had been changing into involved that corporations could expose them to potential future climate-related monetary losses.

“There’s a very restricted urge for food for giving up efficiency for increased ESG. The query is extra: is administration taking over dangers it will possibly’t handle?”

To attempt to reply that query, the world’s largest monetary service suppliers are investing in corporations which offer ESG-related information.

This yr alone, Moody’s purchased Vigeo Eiris and 4 Twenty Seven, MSCI purchased Carbon Delta and the London Inventory Trade purchased Past Scores. S&P acquired Trucost in 2016.

Impartial local weather threat advisors Engaged Monitoring say they attracted two-thirds of their purchasers previously yr. All six corporations present information, assessments and consulting on the local weather publicity of corporations or bonds.

HOW TO COUNT

A central difficulty, mentioned at European oil majors’ shareholder conferences this yr, is how they cope with the emissions attributable to the merchandise they promote, reminiscent of gasoline or kerosene, that are often called Scope three emissions.

(GRAPHIC: Oil Majors’ Carbon emissions – right here)

Such emissions are usually round six occasions bigger than the mixed emissions from oil corporations’ direct operations and energy provide, also referred to as Scope 1 and a couple of emissions, in keeping with Reuters calculations.

Even when an organization publishes Scope three information, there are 15 completely different classes primarily based on the Greenhouse Fuel Protocol. These embrace use of bought merchandise reminiscent of gasoline alongside secondary elements reminiscent of enterprise journey or worker commuting.

Constantine Pretenteris at Engaged Monitoring mentioned some corporations achieved a excessive rating for comprehensiveness by disclosing information for a lot of the Scope three classes, however omitted the important thing ones, reminiscent of emissions from use of their gasoline.

“We’d like to see a basic commonplace which makes comparisons straightforward,” Sven Reinke of Moody’s mentioned. “It doesn’t totally exist as of late.”

RELATIVE OR ABSOLUTE

The vast majority of climate-related targets are primarily based on depth measures, which suggests absolute emissions can rise with rising manufacturing, even when the headline depth metric falls.

Complete recorded Scope three emissions from the world’s high public oil corporations are nonetheless rising, largely as a consequence of rising oil and fuel output, in keeping with Reuters calculations primarily based on information carried on Refinitiv’s Eikon platform and firm web sites.

They confirmed mixed Scope three emissions recorded by BP, Royal Dutch Shell, Exxon Mobil, ConocoPhillips’, Chevron, Eni, Complete, Equinor and Repsol rose round 1.6% over 2018, after a 1% related rise the earlier yr.

Particular person figures differ in keeping with the metrics an organization chooses to incorporate. Conoco mentioned its Scope three emissions had fallen 5%, whereas the opposite corporations’ particular person recorded Scope three emissions both rose or stayed roughly the identical.

Requested for remark, BP and Chevron pointed to absolute targets associated to their very own operations. Complete pointed to progress it had made in the direction of decreasing emissions depth per unit produced. Shell and Repsol referred to their short-term intensity-based targets and Equinor mentioned it couldn’t take accountability for emissions it doesn’t management.

U.S. agency Exxon didn’t reply to a request for remark. Eni had no fast remark.

Prime oil corporations have boosted funding in renewable vitality and low-carbon know-how lately, notably in Europe, however a lot larger sums are nonetheless going into growing oil and fuel.

“We can not change the patterns of consumption world wide – we can not make individuals fly much less. We are able to cut back the carbon depth of the merchandise we promote,” Shell Chief Govt Ben van Beurden mentioned in June.

Mark Lewis from BNP Paribas and a member of TCFD, mentioned total cuts had been what would depend ultimately. Repsol is at present the one main oil firm to have set absolute discount targets for all its output.

“The Paris Settlement is all a few carbon price range and that’s an absolute quantity. It’s not an depth quantity,” Lewis mentioned. “The environment works by way of absolutes not depth.”

Within the meantime, some buyers are avoiding oil corporations which others say needs to be supported for going additional than a lot of their friends.

London-based funding administration agency Sarasin & Companions mentioned in June it was promoting down its stake in Shell as a result of its spending plans had been out of synch with worldwide local weather targets.

Requested for remark, Shell pointed to feedback from representatives of the pension funds of the Church of England and Britain’s authorities Surroundings company, which praised the corporate’s transparency and mentioned others ought to comply with its lead.

(GRAPHIC: European Carbon costs – right here)

Modifying by Philippa Fletcher

Our Requirements:The Thomson Reuters Belief Rules.

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Measurement issues. Huge U.S. farms get even larger amid China commerce warfare

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HAZELTON, N.D. (Reuters) – Because the 2018 harvest approached, North Dakota farmer Mike Appert had an issue – too many soybeans and nowhere to place them. Promoting was a foul choice. Costs had been close to decade lows as U.S. President Donald Trump’s commerce warfare with China weighed closely in the marketplace. Short-term storage would solely purchase him a little bit little bit of time, notably in an space the place chilly climate can injury crops saved in plastic baggage.

Farmer Doug Zink stands in one in every of his soybean fields close to Carrington, North Dakota, U.S., August 8, 2019. Image taken on August 8, 2019. REUTERS/Dan Koeck

So Appert, who farms 48,000 acres (19,425 hectares), minimize a test for $800,000 to construct eight new everlasting metal bins. Thatallowed him to carry onto his bumper crop and await costs to recuperate.

He offered half of the 456,000 bushels saved on his farm all through the next summer time, incomes about $1 extra per bushel and avoiding storage at close by CHS elevators or an Archer Daniels Midland Co. processor within the space.

However most farmers should not have $800,000 to spend on metal bins, and plenty of are going beneath. The variety of U.S. farms fell by 12,800 to 2.029 million in 2018, the smallest ever, because the commerce warfare pushes extra farmers into retirement or chapter.

Roger Hadley, who farms 1,000 acres in Indiana, was unable to plant any corn and soybeans this 12 months after heavy rains added to farmers’ woes.

He spent many of the summer time attempting to plant a mixture of grasses, a so-called cowl crop, so he may apply for presidency support and take a look at once more subsequent 12 months.

“The blokes that obtained wealthy are getting richer,” Hadley mentioned. “It has annoyed loads of guys.”

In farming, measurement does matter. The farms left standing after the commerce had been will seemingly be a few of the greatest within the enterprise. Appert’s operations are greater than 100 instances larger than the typical American farm and the benefits offered by that magnitude have gotten much more essential because the commerce warfare stretches right into a second 12 months.

The declining variety of U.S. farmers may harm the world’s prime grain retailers corresponding to ADM and Bunge, who could have fewer suppliers. Moreover, farmers could have much less must lease house within the retailers’ grain silos as huge farmers like Appert have plentiful storage on their very own farms.

ADM mentioned it might proceed altering to satisfy the wants of its clients. Bunge didn’t reply to an e mail in search of remark.

By the tip of 2018, the typical U.S. farm measurement rose to 443 acres, a 12-year excessive and up from 441 million in 2017, based on the most recent U.S. Division of Agriculture knowledge.

And the largest farmers are rising their operations much more as retiring farmers select to lease their land relatively than promoting it.

When land turns into obtainable for lease, solely the largest farmers can readily shoulder the prices wanted to broaden.

The scale of the loans smaller farmers would want to purchase gear, for instance, are too huge for candidates with little collateral, mentioned Dave Kusler, president of the Financial institution of Hazelton in Hazelton, North Dakota. “It’s nearly unattainable with what the prices are,” Kuslersaid. “On this space you may’t make a dwelling on 1,000 acres.”

Critics say the Trump administration’s coverage of compensating growers for misplaced gross sales as a result of commerce warfare pays the larger farm operations extra, since funds are calculated by acres farmed.

(For a graphic on Trump’s commerce warfare farm bailout: tmsnrt.rs/2Yu32ns)

The Environmental Working Group, a conservation group, mentioned in a current examine the highest 1% of support recipients obtained a median of greater than $180,000 whereas the underside 80% had been paid lower than $5,000 in support.

Appert mentioned that huge farmers obtain larger outright funds however much less per acre than small farms due to a $500,000 cap per farm.

‘BOOM, BOOM, BOOM’

Huge farms can reap the complete advantages of recent high-tech gear that enhances farm yields.

Doug Zink, who farms 35,000 acres close to Carrington, North Dakota, mentioned he likes to commerce in his fleet of 4 combines and planters practically yearly to make sure that his gear is beneath guarantee, which saves hundreds of {dollars} in upkeep prices and helps keep away from breakdowns throughout key seeding and planting intervals.

Additionally they obtain deep reductions – as a lot as $40,000 for some mix harvesters that may price as a lot as $400,000 – permitting them to improve extra typically.

Producers are more and more prepared to chop such offers to maintain purchasers because the variety of clients falls. Deere & Co mentioned that it’ll cut back manufacturing by 20% at its services in Illinois and Iowa within the second of half of the 12 months. Rival agricultural machine makers AGCO Corp and CNH Industrial have additionally slashed manufacturing to maintain stock in keeping with retail demand.

Slideshow (6 Photographs)

Giant farms even have the best entry to capital, with bankers nonetheless keen to supply loans to growers with loads of collateral. “The ag pattern goes to bigger farms,” Kusler, the financial institution president in Hazelton, North Dakota, mentioned “The loans get a lot bigger.”

Appert had no drawback getting a mortgage to finance growth.

“If you wish to get a mortgage and purchase a bit of land it’s simply growth, growth, growth,” he mentioned.

Reporting by Mark Weinraub; Modifying by Caroline Stauffer and Marguerita Choy

Our Requirements:The Thomson Reuters Belief Ideas.

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Saudi vitality minister to carry press convention on Tuesday

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FILE PHOTO: Saudi Arabia’s new Power Minister, Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman takes a tour on the exhibition throughout the 24th World Power Congress in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates September 9, 2019. REUTERS/Satish Kumar/File Picture

RIYADH (Reuters) – Saudi Arabia’s vitality minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman will maintain a press convention on Tuesday following the assaults on Aramco services in Abqaiq and Khurais which have lower the corporate’s crude oil provide by about 50 %, the media ministry mentioned.

Prince Abdulaziz had mentioned on Sunday Aramco would have extra info to share inside 48 hours.

Reporting By Stephen Kalin; Writing By Maha El Dahan

Our Requirements:The Thomson Reuters Belief Rules.

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Oil falls however costs nonetheless elevated after assaults on Saudi amenities

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TOKYO (Reuters) – Oil fell greater than 1% on Tuesday because the market held on tenterhooks over the specter of a army response to assaults on Saudi Arabian crude oil amenities that lower the dominion’s output in half and despatched costs hovering by essentially the most in many years.

Oil pump jacks work at sundown close to Midland, Texas, U.S., August 21, 2019. REUTERS/Jessica Lutz

The Saturday assault heightened uncertainty in a market that had turn out to be comparatively subdued in latest months as a result of slowing international progress because the U.S.-China commerce battle rages. Saudi Arabia is the world’s prime oil exporter and has been the provider of final resort for many years.

Brent crude was down 73 cents, or 1.1%, at $68.29 a barrel by 0405 GMT, and West Texas Intermediate was down 87 cents, or 1.4%, at $62.03 a barrel.

Costs surged almost 20% in intraday buying and selling on Monday in response to the assaults, the most important leap in virtually 30 years, earlier than closing round 15% increased. Equities and different markets had been additionally pressured on Tuesday.

(graphic : Saudi Arabia crude oil exports by prime locations – right here)

(graphic: World oil costs pull again however stay jittery – right here)

“The query is how lengthy it takes for the provision to get again on-line,” mentioned Esty Dwek, head of world market technique at Natixis Funding Managers.

“Nonetheless, the (geopolitical) threat premium … which has been mainly ignored by markets in favor of progress worries in latest months, is prone to be priced in going ahead,” she mentioned.

A gauge of oil-market volatility on Monday rose to the very best stage since December of final 12 months, and buying and selling exercise confirmed buyers count on increased costs in coming months.

Japan mentioned on Tuesday it will take into account a coordinated launch of oil reserves if obligatory.

U.S. President Donald Trump mentioned on Monday it appeared like Iran was behind assaults on the Saudi oil amenities however confused he didn’t need to go to battle. Tehran has rejected the costs that it was behind the drone strikes.

Relations between the US and Iran have deteriorated since Trump pulled out of the Iran nuclear accord final 12 months and reimposed sanctions on its oil exports.

Washington additionally desires to strain Tehran to finish its help of regional proxy forces, together with in Yemen the place Saudi forces have been combating Iran-backed Houthis for 4 years.

“With the U.S. ‘locked and loaded’ awaiting indicators from Saudi Arabia that Iran was concerned, tensions within the Center East may worsen earlier than they get higher. Underneath these circumstances, the value of oil may stay elevated for a while but,” Metropolis Index analyst Fiona Cincotta mentioned.

“Nonetheless, let’s not additionally neglect that the demand image isn’t nice proper now, which can dampen the oil value shortly. Most not too long ago China’s industrial manufacturing figures dissatisfied in a single day,” Cincotta mentioned.

The assault on state-owned producer Saudi Aramco’s crude-processing amenities at Abqaiq and Khurais lower its output by 5.7 million barrels a day and threw into query its skill to take care of oil exports.

The corporate has not given a selected timeline for the resumption of full output.

Reporting by Aaron Sheldrick; Modifying by Stephen Coates and Tom Hogue

Our Requirements:The Thomson Reuters Belief Rules.

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Oil surges after assault on Saudi oil amenities shuts in 5% of worldwide provide

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SINGAPORE (Reuters) – Oil costs surged on Monday, with Brent crude posting its largest intra-day proportion acquire because the Gulf Warfare in 1991, after an assault on Saudi Arabian oil amenities on Saturday shut over 5% of worldwide provide.

FILE PHOTO: Oil pours out of a spout from Edwin Drake’s authentic 1859 nicely that launched the trendy petroleum business on the Drake Nicely Museum and Park in Titusville, Pennsylvania U.S., October 5, 2017. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Picture

However costs got here off their peaks after U.S. President Donald Trump licensed the usage of the nation’s emergency stockpile to make sure secure provide.

Brent crude futures, the worldwide benchmark, rose by as a lot as 19.5% to $71.95 per barrel, the most important intra-day leap since Jan. 14, 1991. By 0633 GMT, the front-month contract was at $66.31, up $6.09, or 10.1%, from its earlier shut.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures climbed by as a lot as 15.5% to $63.34, the most important intra-day proportion acquire since June 22, 1998. The front-month contract was at $59.80, up $4.95, or 9%.

Saudi Arabia is the world’s largest oil exporter and the assault on state-owned producer Saudi Aramco’s crude processing amenities at Abqaiq and Khurais has lower output by 5.7 million barrels per day. The corporate has not given a timeline for the resumption of full output.

A supply near the matter informed Reuters the return to full oil capability might take “weeks, not days.”

“We predict the assaults could be a get up name for traders, who’ve failed to cost in threat inside the value of crude. Though international provide will contract within the close to time period, america has the flexibility to provide this contraction,” mentioned Hue Body, managing director at Body Funds in Sydney.

Nations that are main importers of Saudi crude, reminiscent of India, China and Indonesia, would be the most weak to the oil provide disruption, Body mentioned.

Saudi Arabia’s oil exports will proceed as regular this week as the dominion faucets into shares from its giant storage amenities, an business supply briefed on the developments informed Reuters on Sunday.

“The assaults on essential Saudi oil infrastructure over the weekend are unlikely to cut back the dominion’s oil exports dramatically and the markets will doubtless look past short-term supply-demand dislocations,” Barclays mentioned on Monday.

“Nonetheless, a re-pricing of supply-side tail dangers will doubtless present a extra sustained increase to grease costs.”

President Trump mentioned he authorized the discharge of oil from the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) if wanted in a amount to be decided.

Trump additionally mentioned america was “locked and loaded” for a possible response to the assault on Saudi Arabia’s oil amenities.

In the meantime, South Korea mentioned on Monday that it will think about releasing oil from its strategic oil reserves if circumstances round crude oil imports worsen within the wake of Saturday’s assault on Saudi Arabia’s oil amenities.

The assault on vegetation within the heartland of Saudi Arabia’s oil business, together with the world’s largest petroleum-processing facility at Abqaiq, got here from the path of Iran, and cruise missiles could have been used, in accordance with a senior U.S. official.

(International oil costs spike over 10% after assaults on Saudi Arabia oil amenities: right here)

(Saudi Arabia crude exports to Asia vs remainder of the world: right here)

RISK PREMIUM

“Rising fears of a provide squeeze and heightened geopolitical tensions within the Center East will add a threat premium for oil costs,” mentioned Benjamin Lu, analyst at Singapore-based brokerage Phillip Futures.

“Oil markets although adequately provided over well-stocked international inventories will stay fragile as market deliberate looming supply-side uncertainties. A protracted provide outage and heightened militaristic tensions (Center East) will hold merchants fixated on rising market dangers within the present time period.”

Saudi Arabia is ready to turn into a major purchaser of refined merchandise after the assaults, consultancy Vitality Points mentioned in a be aware.

Saudi Aramco will doubtless purchase important portions of gasoline, diesel and presumably gasoline oil whereas reducing liquefied petroleum fuel exports.

U.S. gasoline futures rose as a lot 12.9%, whereas U.S. heating oil futures rose by as a lot as 10.8%. China’s Shanghai crude oil futures rose to its buying and selling restrict, gaining 8% on the open.

In the meantime, Saudi Aramco has informed one Indian refinery there will probably be no quick affect on oil provides as it can ship crude from different sources and has sufficient stock, a supply with the refinery mentioned.

Different Asian consumers reminiscent of Thailand have additionally mentioned the assault would haven’t any quick affect on oil imports.

Reporting by Koustav Samanta in Singapore, Jane Chung in Seoul and Devika Krishna Kumar in New York; Modifying by Jacqueline Wong, Christian Schmollinger & Kim Coghill

Our Requirements:The Thomson Reuters Belief Rules.

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Oil surges as Saudi assault focuses market on provide dangers

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SEOUL (Reuters) – Oil costs surged on Monday, with Brent crude posting its greatest intra-day share achieve for the reason that begin of the Gulf Warfare in 1991, after an assault on Saudi Arabian oil services on Saturday shut within the equal of 5% of worldwide provide.

FILE PHOTO: Oil pours out of a spout from Edwin Drake’s unique 1859 nicely that launched the trendy petroleum business on the Drake Effectively Museum and Park in Titusville, Pennsylvania U.S., October 5, 2017. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Picture

Benchmark Brent crude futures rose by as a lot as 19.5% to $71.95 per barrel, the most important intra-day soar since Jan. 14, 1991. The front-month contract was at $66.20 per barrel, up $5.98, or 9.9%, from their earlier shut, at by 0343 GMT.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures climbed by as a lot as 15.5% to $63.34 a barrel, the most important intra-day share achieve since June 22, 1998. The front-month contract was at $59.73 a barrel, up $4.88, or 8.9%, at 0343 GMT.

Saudi Arabia is the world’s greatest oil exporter and the assault on the state-owned producer Saudi Aramco’s processing services at Abqaiq and Khurais has lower output by 5.7 million barrels per day. The corporate has not given a timeline for the resumption of full output.

A supply near the matter informed Reuters the return to full oil capability might take “weeks, not days.”

Saudi Arabia’s oil exports will proceed as regular this week as the dominion faucets into shares from its massive storage services, an business supply briefed on the developments informed Reuters on Sunday.

“How the USA and Saudi Arabia take care of the scenario will probably be intently watched,” mentioned Margaret Yang, market analyst at CMC Markets in Singapore.

“If greater oil costs are right here to remain, Asia’s oil reliant economies comparable to China, Japan, India, South Korea and the Philippines will begin to really feel the ache as greater vitality and uncooked materials costs add on the price burden,” Yang added.

U.S. President Donald Trump mentioned he accepted the discharge of oil from the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) if wanted in a amount to be decided because of the assault.

The assault on crops within the heartland of Saudi Arabia’s oil business, together with the world’s greatest petroleum-processing facility at Abqaiq, got here from the path of Iran, and cruise missiles could have been used, in keeping with a senior U.S. official. Preliminary stories indicated the assault got here from Yemen.

Trump additionally mentioned the USA was “locked and loaded” for a possible response to the assault on Saudi Arabia’s oil services.

RISK PREMIUM

ANZ Analysis mentioned in a notice that the market would value in “a large world geopolitical threat premium”.

“Any expectation that the market had in regards to the U.S. easing sanctions on Iran following President Trump’s dismissal of John Bolton will shortly dissipate. This could see Brent crude check the $70 per barrel mark within the quick time period,” ANZ Analysis mentioned.

Saudi Arabia is ready to develop into a big purchaser of refined merchandise after the assaults, consultancy Power Facets mentioned in a notice.

Saudi Aramco will seemingly purchase important portions of gasoline, diesel and probably gasoline oil whereas slicing liquefied petroleum gasoline exports.

U.S. gasoline futures rose as a lot 12.9%, whereas U.S. heating oil futures rose by as a lot as 10.8%. China’s Shanghai crude oil futures rose to its buying and selling restrict, gaining 8% on the open.

In the meantime, Saudi Aramco has informed one Indian refinery there will probably be no fast impression on oil provides as it’ll ship crude from different sources and has sufficient stock, a supply with the refinery mentioned.

Different Asian patrons comparable to Thailand have additionally mentioned the assault would haven’t any fast impression on oil imports.

Reporting by Jane Chung in Seoul and Devika Krishna Kumar in New York; Modifying by Jacqueline Wong and Christian Schmollinger

Our Requirements:The Thomson Reuters Belief Ideas.

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