Climate change is the reason behind the abundance of rain in Dubai, not pollination of clouds

The scenes distributed in the United Arab Emirates this week range from week of surrealism to horror. There are ‘Rolls -Royce’ and ‘Aston Martin’ cars floating in floodwater, a plane running on a lake, and furniture flying from the balcony of an apartment with a high finger. The blame for changing the weather in the heavy rains that occurred on Tuesday, causing sudden flooding and claiming the lives of at least 18 people in neighboring Amman, is probably wrong. Reports indicate that the rain fell on Dubai at a rate of about 15 inches (15.2 cm) within 24 hours, equivalent to about a year and a half of the average annual rainfall in the emirate. Raining once every 100 years in the region, which means a ritual of the possibility of the appearance of 1% each year, will produce about 2.4 inches a day. So what happened this week was more than twice the amount of expected rain. It is relatively easy to explain the causes of flooding, as weaknesses occur in societies before the weather becomes bad. As a dry area mostly with interrupted rain in the winter months, the Middle East did not design its cities to carry the heavy rain. When I was in Dubai to attend the Climate Summit “Cob 28”, I felt like I was in a concrete bush with large asphalt manners, large glass buildings and paved squares. If we look at the abundance of insufficient water and insufficient drainage, there was no place to drain all this rain. The causes of heavy rain, but what led to the abundance of rain? Bloomberg News believes that there is a relationship between rainfall and the UAE efforts to pollinate clouds, which began in 2002 as an attempt to address issues on water security. To increase the rainfall, it stimulates clouds by spraying it during hot weather with salt molecules, with the aim of forming larger drops that eventually lead to rain. Ahmed Habib, meteorological expert, said the vaccination aircraft was sent on Monday and Tuesday to take advantage of the promising cloud formations. The National Meteorological Center (NCM) later denied the implementation of weather modification techniques before storms occurred. The weather modification technology has a nature of mystery. When China, who invested billions of rands in advanced weather controls, said it cleared the air in preparation for the 2008 Olympics at the 2008 Olympics by forcing rain, many people did not question it. But despite investing large amounts of this technology, there is a debate on its effectiveness. In a study known as “Snowie”, researchers at the University of Colorado and the National Center for Air Cover Research have proven that pollination of clouds in cold weather can stimulate extra snow with Silver Yozel. But mechanisms, stimulus and clouds are completely different when trying to produce rain in hot weather. The polishing of the clouds does not stimulate the rain of nothingness. The pollination of clouds can promote the level of moisture already in the air, but it cannot stimulate the rain of nothingness. VAE officials say this technology can increase the rainfall rate by 10% to 30% annually, which means that even if it happens at the beginning of this week, it is assumed that a large amount of rain is supposed to be anyway. Instead, Frederks Otto, climate scientist and large lecturer at the Grantham Institute for Climate Change Research and Environment of the Imperial College London said, in a statement sent to me by e -mail, that “If we talk about the abundance of rain, we should talk about climate change.” The warmer atmosphere can carry more water, and that means rain around the world has become more abundant, so the Middle East is no exception. In a study published in ‘Review of Geophysics’ during 2022, it was found that greenhouse gas emissions not only lead to more severe and dry free waves in the region, but also to stronger heavy rains, where the semi -arid and dry areas are expected to increase an increase of 5% to 10% in the severity of rain. A study conducted by scientists at the National Meteorological Center and published this year indicated that the annual rainfall in the Emirates will increase by 30% in the entire country, with the increasing frequency of heavy rain. It is therefore possible that the destruction that took place this week is not the result of our attempt to play with again, but rather stems from another human innovation, which is climate change.