Wall Street rising wave shows signs of fatigue amid political and economic risks

The Gulf of Ascension in Wall Street is some signs of fatigue, amid speculation that the rise of equities exceeds their boundaries in the light of economic and geopolitical risks. Long -term -testaic effects recorded a performance of the sub -level. The oil also carried it from its biggest decline in two days since 2022. The dollar dropped to the lowest level in three years. The S&B 500 varied, just a few points of the highest level ever. The Nasdac 100 index rose slightly, with ‘Inventia’ a record level. After the market was closed, the “Micron Technology” business offered optimistic expectations at the time of the “Russell 2000” index for small businesses that lost 1.2%. The yield gap between the effects closer to 30 years and five years of levels last seen in 2021. The drop of the curve is a bet that the Federal Reserve will eventually lower interest rates, while the anxiety over the issuance of debt is expected to push the longest merit. Merchants followed the second day of the chairman of the Federal Reserve Jerome Powell’s certificate before the congress, after federal reserve officials held interest rates without changing last week. The chairman of the Federal Reserve said the US central continues to have trouble determining the impact of customs duties on consumer prices. He also pointed out that the United States has the most powerful economy in the world, and it makes sense to move slowly at times of uncertainty. The US economy, before the opposite winds, said: “If it was not the uncertainty due to the change of commercial policy, the federal could reduce interest rates this summer.” She added: “The federal has stopped lowering interest rates caused by customs duties, and not necessarily an indication of economic progress. We expect one reduction to two in 2025, which is likely to start in September.” The US market has rarely faced wind as it faces in 2025: a new president who reforms the global commercial system, large -scale duties and a dose of uncertainty from the Middle East news. While the shares have remained steadfast despite all these obstacles, the higher the S&B 500 index, the warnings that the complications of its judgments are starting to look fragile. “No market is moving in a straight line,” said Matt Mali of Miller Tobacco, adding, “The belief that it needs a short break is not in itself a major concern in the market.” The ceasefire between Iran and Israel is calming concerns at a geopolitical level, President Donald Trump said the United States will hold a meeting with Iran next week, but it has expressed doubts about the need for a diplomatic agreement on the Iranian nuclear program, which indicates that the US air branches are caused at major core locations in Iran. His remarks came on the second day of Israel and Iran ceasefire, which finished 12 days of fighting that threatened to turn into a broader regional war, threatening the stability of energy markets. “The markets are currently priceing that the worst of the conflict between Iran and Israel has become behind us,” Shayev said. She added: “Customs duties, trade, tax, inflation, employment and interest rates currently have a much greater impact on stocks.” Wall Street strategies are still optimistic; Strategies in JP Morgan Chase have doubled their bet that the US stock market is on its way to a new record this year, as the economy and consumers are still steadfast despite the uncertainty in policy. “In the absence of any political shock or policy, we believe that the less resistance path to new peaks will be supported by strong basic principles led by the technology and artificial intelligence sector, and a continuous request for automatic strategies, and flow of active investors to declines,” strategists said, led by Dobravco Lacos-Bwias. When the shares approached their highest levels ever, one of the top traders in the Goldman Sachs Group warned that there were good reasons to handle the recent profits. This is especially true for the lower parts of the market, as the shares are forced to rise due to the open sellers who are forced to cover their positions, according to what Luis Miller wrote. He said: “Two weeks ago, we indicated that the pressure on open selling centers could be an opportunity to bet on their decline again, and we believe that time is approaching.” Technical markets show durability despite the challenges at Piper Sandler, Craig Johnson has blinded in the first two halves of this year through the durability of stock markets. He pointed out that “the volatile background of uncertainty about customs duties, geopolitical tension, the reduction of the United States credit rating, and the aggravation of national debt, were strong winds for investors.” He added: “But given the second half of the year, we believe that the artistic structure is still constructive, and the cup is still half full, based on the available technical evidence.” In fact, it was not only limited to the fact that the Nasdaq 100 index was closed for the first time since February Tuesday on a record level, but also a “gold cross” in this process. The ‘gold crossing’ occurs when the moving average enters 200 days from the bottom to top of a 50 -day counterpart. Mali of “Miller Tobacco” said: “The golden intersections are not one of the things that highlight most of the technical analysts, but it is still a positive indication of the momentum.” He pointed out that the previous twice that this excessive indication of technology companies was a ‘gold crossing’, each followed great heights before later corrections took place.