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Exxon 1Q profit and revenue misses estimates

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Exxon Mobil Corp. shares slipped in premarket trading Friday after the company posted disappointing results.

The company reported first-quarter profit of $2.35 billion, or 55 cents per share.

The results fell short of Wall Street expectations, but Exxon does not adjust its reported results based on one-time events such as asset sales. The average estimate of seven analysts surveyed by Zacks Investment Research was for earnings of 72 cents per share.

The Irving, Texas-based oil and natural gas company posted revenue of $63.63 billion in the period, also falling short of Street forecasts. Three analysts surveyed by Zacks expected $67.93 billion.

Exxon shares were down 2 percent in early trading.

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Elements of this story were generated by Automated Insights (http://automatedinsights.com/ap) using data from Zacks Investment Research. Access a Zacks stock report on XOM at https://www.zacks.com/ap/XOM

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China’s Xi promotes building initiative amid debt worries

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Chinese President Xi Jinping promised Friday to set high standards for Beijing’s sweeping infrastructure-building initiative as fellow leaders praised the effort despite worries it is saddling some countries with too much debt.

Xi avoided mentioning debt in a speech at a Belt and Road forum celebrating his signature foreign initiative. But he promised changes in response to complaints about costs, dubious payoffs from the projects and possible environmental damage.

Beijing wants “open, green and clean cooperation” with “zero tolerance for corruption,” Xi said.

Developing countries have welcomed the initiative, launched in 2013, to expand trade by building roads, ports and other facilities from Asia through Africa and the Middle East to Europe. But some governments are struggling to repay Chinese loans, fueling complaints poor countries are being pushed into a “debt trap.”

The United States, Japan, India and Russia have chafed at the expansion of Beijing’s strategic influence with the building of trade and political networks centered on China.

Despite that, Russian President Vladimir Putin on Friday praised the initiative, saying it dovetails with the goals of a Russian-promoted market with four of its neighbors, the Eurasian Economic Union.

Malaysian Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad, who had suspended plans for a Chinese-built railway and other projects due to their cost, said he was “fully in support.”

Prime Minister Imran Khan of Pakistan, one of China’s closest allies, said Belt and Road has produced “substantial progress” in increasing power supplies and other areas.

The U.N.’s secretary-general, Antonio Guterres, said Belt and Road projects could help turn the balance in mitigating climate change.

Xi’s government is trying to revive the initiative’s momentum after the number of new projects plunged last year. That came after Chinese officials said state-owned banks would step up scrutiny of borrowers and some governments complained projects do too little for their economies and might give Beijing too much political influence.

Other countries including Thailand and Nepal have canceled or scaled back projects while Ethiopia and others have renegotiated debt repayment.

Xi promised changes to forestall corruption and environmental damage, and sought to allay worries Beijing is reaping most of the economic benefits and gaining power at the expense of countries involved.

The Belt and Road is “not an exclusive club” and promotes “common development and prosperity,” Xi said. He said Belt and Road will embrace international standards for project development, purchasing and operations.

China issued “debt sustainability” guidelines Thursday for assessing debt risks to borrowers that the Ministry of Finance said are based on standards of the International Monetary Fund and other international institutions.

Finance Minister Liu Kun said the guidelines, intended to “prevent and solve debt problems,” would classify countries by risk based on productivity, economic growth and other factors.

Other leaders attending the forum included Aung San Suu Kyi, state councilor for Myanmar, Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed and leaders or envoys from Germany, Italy and Greece.

Xi said Beijing wants to encourage cooperation on health, water resources, agriculture and technology. He promised scholarships for students from Belt and Road countries.

Chinese lenders have provided $440 billion in financing, the country’s central bank governor, Yi Gang, said Thursday without giving details on repayments or risks of defaults.

In addition, some 500 billion yuan ($75 billion) has been raised in Chinese bond markets, according to Yi.

The United States, Japan and other wealthy countries also finance construction in a region the Asia Development Bank says needs $26 trillion of investment through 2030 to keep economic growth strong.

In March, Italy became the first member of the Group of Seven major economies to sign an agreement to support Belt and Road.

Belt and Road countries also include many of the poorest and most indebted in Africa and Asia.

About one-quarter of the 115 governments that have signed agreements to support the initiative have foreign debt equal to at least 75% of their annual economic output, according to Moody’s. Mongolia is the most extreme at 240 percent. Egypt, Indonesia and Pakistan all are above 50%.

None is in immediate danger of default, but Belt and Road economies tend to have higher debt than average, weaker financial flows and more vulnerability to economic shocks, said Lillian Li, a Moody’s vice president.

Borrowing “more external funds will be more dangerous to themselves as well as to the lending countries,” Li said in an interview.

There’s a limit to how much Xi’s government might change the initiative because Beijing still wants to increase its influence and generate work for Chinese industries, Tom Rafferty of the Economist Intelligence Unit said in a report ahead of Friday’s forum.

One element to watch will be whether Beijing tries to enhance the appeal of Belt and Road by making it more like the World Bank or other multinational organizations, he said.

“This has the potential to generate further tensions with the U.S.,” Rafferty said.

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Associated Press writer Christopher Bodeen contributed.

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Asian shares fall on China stimulus worries, weak earnings

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Shares were mostly lower in Asia on Friday after an overnight decline on Wall Street spurred by disappointingly weak earnings reports from 3M and other industrial companies.

Concern that China may temper its economic stimulus pulled the Shanghai benchmark down 0.8% to 3,099.36. Japan’s Nikkei 225 index slipped 0.5% to 22,193.41 and the Kospi in South Korea declined 0.6% to 2,175.89. Australia’s S&P ASX 200 edged 0.1% higher to 6,388.20 while the Hang Seng in Hong Kong added 9.33 points to 29,564.49.

Shares fell in Taiwan and Singapore but rose in Jakarta.

Traders are watching for U.S. growth data later in the day and China-U.S. trade talks next week in Beijing.

Disappointingly weak earnings reports from 3M and other industrial companies kept U.S. stock indexes in check on Thursday, blotting out a set of blowout results from big-name tech companies.

3M, the maker of Scotch tape and various products for businesses, reported weaker revenue and profit than Wall Street expected for the first three months of the year. It also slashed its profit forecast for the full year, while United Parcel Service said its net income fell 17% on nearly flat revenue.

They helped drag industrial stocks to the largest loss among the 11 sectors that make up the S&P 500, and 3M’s loss dealt a particular sharp blow to the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

The S&P 500 edged 1.08 points lower to 2,926.17 while the Dow Jones Industrial average dropped 0.5%, to 26,462.08. The Nasdaq composite rose 0.2% to 8,118.68.

Tech companies have been leading the way this year, as the S&P 500 index returned to a record this week, on expectations that they can continue to deliver strong growth despite a slowing global economy. And many are delivering: Revenue jumped 14% for Microsoft and 26% for Facebook from a year ago.

Earnings reporting season is about a third of the way in, and investors are searching for clues about whether profit growth can accelerate later this year following a weak first quarter. The stock market has had a furious rally this year, largely because the Federal Reserve has said that it is halting its plan to raise interest rates, at least temporarily.

Analysts are now forecasting a drop of 2.8% in earnings for S&P 500 companies this reporting season. That’s not as bad as the 4% decline they were expecting a few weeks ago.

ENERGY: Benchmark U.S. crude gave up 31 cents to $64.90 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It lost 68 cents to $65.21 per barrel on Thursday. Brent crude, the international standard, lost 18 cents to $73.46 per barrel.

CURRENCIES: The dollar was trading at 111.67 Japanese yen, up from 111.63 yen on Thursday. The euro was unchanged at $1.1133.

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AP Business Writer Stan Choe contributed.

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Amazon to bring 1-day delivery to Prime members

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Two-day delivery is going out of style.

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Amazon, which hooked shoppers on getting just about anything delivered in two days, announced Thursday that it will soon promise one-day delivery for its U.S. Prime members on most items.

The company hopes that cutting delivery times in half will make its $119-a year Prime membership more attractive, since every other online store offers free deliveries in two days. Amazon also can’t compete with Walmart and Target, where ordering online and picking up at a store is becoming more popular with shoppers.

“It is a smart change, but it is also one that is becoming increasingly necessary,” said Neil Saunders, managing director at GlobalData Retail. “Other retailers have really upped their game in terms of delivery.”

Still, Saunders said the shift is likely to put even more pressure on Amazon’s retail rivals, as shoppers become accustomed to even faster shipping times.

Amazon didn’t say when the change to its U.S. Prime membership will happen, but it said Thursday that it in the past month it has been increasing its selection of items eligible for one-day deliveries.

In some other countries, such as the U.K., Prime members are already offered one-day shipping.

Brian Olsavsky, Amazon’s chief financial officer, said the company is well equipped to offer one day shipping, since it has spent more than 20 years adding warehouses around the country where orders are packed and shipped.

Amazon has also been delivering more packages itself instead of relying on UPS, the post office and other carriers. It has expanded its fleet of jets, has plans to open package sorting hubs at two airports and launched a program last year that allows contractors around the country to deliver Amazon packages in vans stamped with the Amazon smile logo.

Still, Amazon said Thursday that it expects to spend $800 million in this year’s second quarter to speed up deliveries.

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Contact Joseph Pisani at http://twitter.com/josephpisani



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Starbucks raises 2019 profit outlook after earnings beat

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Starbucks Corp. is raising its profit outlook for 2019 after better-than-expected results in its most recent quarter.

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The Seattle-based coffee company said Thursday it earned $663.2 million, or 53 cents per share, in its fiscal second quarter, up slightly from the January-March period a year ago.

Excluding one-time items, such as the sale of its Tazo tea brand, Starbucks earned 60 cents per share. That beat Wall Street’s estimate of 56 cents, according to a survey of 13 analysts by Zacks Investment Research.

Sales at stores open at least a year rose 3% globally, meeting analysts’ forecasts. Revenue rose 4.5% to $6.31 billion, which was also in line with forecasts.

The company said it now expects full-year earnings in the range of $2.75 to $2.79 per share, up from its previous guidance of $2.68 to $2.73. It reiterated that it expects same-store sales to grow 3% to 4% globally this year.

The company said transactions at established stores were flat in the Americas, Asia and Europe. But customers spent more per order. The company opened 319 net new stores during the quarter. Almost all of those were outside the U.S.

In a conference call with analysts, Starbucks brushed off concerns about Luckin Coffee, a low-cost Chinese competitor that filed for an initial public offering on the Nasdaq stock exchange earlier this week.

Starbucks CEO Kevin Johnson said the company’s research shows Chinese consumers prefer Starbucks for its coffee and its in-store experience. Most of Luckin’s stores are designed for quick pick-ups; it also has nearly 100 kitchens that make coffee drinks for delivery, according to its filings with U.S. regulators.

“Our leadership position is underpinned by our brand strength and operating results,” Johnson said.

Johnson said Starbucks continues to expand rapidly in China, where it’s building 600 stores per year with the goal of having 6,000 stores by 2022. He said the company is now offering delivery in under 20 minutes from 2,100 stores in 35 Chinese cities and aims to increase that to 3,000 stores across 50 cities by the end of 2019.

Johnson didn’t give an update on plans to increase delivery from U.S. stores. Starbucks and its partner, UberEats, launched U.S. delivery earlier this year. It’s now offered from 1,600 stores in seven markets, he said.

Starbucks’ shares were flat at $77.40 in after-hours trading following the earnings report.

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1Q Market Review: Great returns, but with a twist at the end

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It’s been a fabulous start to the year for investors — as long as you ignore all those simmering worries about a possible recession.

The S&P 500 on Friday closed out its best quarter in nearly a decade, having jumped 13.1 percent through the first three months of 2019, and many other investments from junk bonds to foreign stocks have also bounced back from their dismal end to 2018. But the returns would have been even better if not for concerns that slowing growth around the world may drag down the U.S. economy.

The quarter’s twists are just the latest for the markets, which have yo-yoed from record heights to fear-induced sell-offs for more than a year.

The big swings have left stock and bonds looking fairly valued, said Frances Donald, head of macroeconomics strategy at Manulife Asset Management. She’s optimistic markets can keep climbing this year, but she anticipates more swings along the way. When she talks with big institutional investors, the mood is usually one of nervousness, she says.

“The 2020 recession calls, whether they’re right or wrong, have permeated all individual investor mentalities,” she said.

The Fed was again one of the market’s main drivers, and it flipped to hero from antagonist in the eyes of many investors.

As last year was closing, investors were worried that the Federal Reserve would raise interest rates too quickly and choke off the economy. The central bank raised short-term rates in December for the seventh time in two years, and the S&P 500 fell more than 19 percent from late September through Dec. 24, nearly taking down the longest bull market for U.S. stocks on record.

But on Jan. 4, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell told a conference for economists that the central bank would be flexible in deciding when to raise rates. It was an immediate balm for investors, and the S&P 500 leaped 3.4 percent that day. It kept climbing until hitting a peak on March 21, the day after the Fed said that it may not raise rates at all this year.

All the while, companies were turning in yet another round of blockbuster profit reports aided by lower taxes. Earnings per share for S&P 500 companies surged 13 percent during the last three months of 2018 from a year earlier, led by big gains for energy and communications companies.

But the momentum for stocks stalled last week when a surprisingly weak report on the European economy and other worries triggered concerns about the global economy. Investors sought the safety of bonds, and that in turn triggered the alarm on one of the market’s more reliable recession indicators.

Investors drove the yield for the 10-year Treasury lower than for the three-month Treasury bill for the first time since a little before the Great Recession. Such an “inverted yield curve” does not have a perfect track record as a recession predictor, but it has preceded each of the last seven by a year or two.

Here’s a look at some of the moves that shaped the last quarter for investments:

— STOCK FUNDS SOARED

During the fourth-quarter swoon the S&P 500 fell as much as 19.8 percent from its all-time high set Sept. 20. The Fed’s pledge for patience helped the index rally back to within 2.6 percent of the peak this quarter.

Technology stocks again did much of the work, but the gains were widespread. Funds specializing in small stocks or large, energy companies or real estate, all logged gains. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF retuned 13.6 percent for the quarter, including dividends, for its best return since the third quarter of 2009, when the economy was first crawling out of the Great Recession.

Stock funds that focus on high-growth companies, such as tech, again easily bested their counterparts that look for low-priced stocks, called value funds. Value stock funds trailed partly because they often have lots of banks and other financial stocks, which lagged during the quarter on worries that lower interest rates and slower economy will hurt their profits.

— BOND FUNDS CLIMBED AS YIELDS FELL

Inflation is still low, the Fed is holding the line on interest rates and worries are rising about the strength of the economy. All those help push up prices for bonds, and pull yields down, and bond funds of all types powered to gains during the quarter.

The iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF returned 2.9 percent for its best performance in three years. It tracks an index of investment-grade bonds, and it benefited from a drop in the yield on the 10-year Treasury to 2.41 percent from 2.68 percent at the end of the last quarter.

— WHAT’S AHEAD?

Like the global economy, growth is also slowing for U.S. corporate earnings. Analysts say first-quarter profits likely fell nearly 4 percent from a year earlier, according to FactSet. If they’re right, it would be the first decline in nearly three years. That’s setting the stage for some potentially disappointing reports when the next quarter opens on April 1.

So, investors may want to ready themselves for even more turbulence in the coming quarter. Besides earnings reports, they’ll also be getting more clues about the strength of the global economy and whether the United States and China can make progress on their trade dispute to help the global outlook.

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